Inventories Remain Very Tight
- Existing-home sales slipped 3.3% in May, according to the NAR. Sales were down by almost 20% from a year earlier.
- The median sale price of an existing home rose to $410,200, the second-highest price ever recorded.
- The housing market will remain weak as mortgage rates remain elevated and the U.S. economy weakens.
Sales of existing homes fell 3.3% in June to 4.16 million at a seasonally-adjusted annualized rate from 4.30 million in May, according to the National Association of Realtors. Sales declined in the South and West, were flat in the Midwest, and increased in the Northeast. Total existing-home sales plunged 18.9% from a year ago.
The median sale price of an existing home in June was $410,200, the second-highest price on record, and down 0.9% from the record-high price of $413,800 in June 2022. Prices rose in the Northeast and Midwest from a year ago and pulled back in the South and West. The inventory of existing homes for sale was unchanged from the prior month at 1.08 million. June’s inventory is equivalent to 3.1 months’ supply at the existing sales pace, up from 3.0 months in May and 2.9 months in June 2022.
Existing-home sales historically made up about 90% of total home sales but given rising mortgage rates in the past year, existing-home sales have made up a much lower percentage of total sales. Existing homeowners with very low mortgage rates have strong incentives to stay put, worsening the imbalance in the housing market. Looking ahead, demand will remain challenged by elevated mortgage rates and declining affordability. New construction should improve through 2023 as the labor market softens and inflation settles. PNC expects the housing market to remain weak as interest rates remain elevated and the U.S. economy weakens.
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