Automotive Industry Hot Topics & UAW-MBUSI White Paper

May 10, 2024

This week Alan discusses the latest CAR White Paper on the upcoming UAW-Mercedes-Benz Tuscaloosa plant vote, loosening EV battery rules, and new U.S. vehicle safety requirements.

We would love to hear from you and welcome your questions anytime. If you're interested in sharing your thoughts with us on hot topics or would like to ask us a research question, please contact Carolyn Mozheev.

CAR UAW-MBSI White Paper

• UAW’s Next Frontier: Mercedes-Benz in Alabama

Alan’s thoughts:

We’re approaching the next union organizing vote at the Mercedes-Benz plant in Tuscaloosa, Alabama and the UAW is riding a wave of momentum. Just last month, the UAW secured 73% of the votes to organize. The UAW is hoping to continue the winning streak beginning in Detroit and Chattanooga and onto Tuscaloosa. 

Read a fascinating briefing of Shawn Fain’s rise and gain insight into what may occur after the vote and the potential impacts on labor relations in the South. The briefing is co-authored by Dr Marick Masters of Wayne State University and CAR’s own principal economist, Yen Chen.

U.S. Loosens EV Battery Rules:

• Biden administration grants flexibility for automakers in EV tax credit rule

• Final U.S. rules extend timetable for critical mineral sourcing in EV tax credit eligibility

• US loosens some electric vehicle battery rules, potentially making more EVs eligible for tax credits 

• Biden exempts EV metal from climate law sourcing rule 

Alan’s thoughts:

The newly imposed 2-year exemption on graphite as a critical mineral will enable more EVs to qualify for a tax credit. This exemption will provide more time for the battery critical minerals supply chain to bring local sources of graphite to market while incentivizing consumers to purchase an EV. Supply chains are complex, especially when considering raw materials that are mined or processed outside of North America. Changing suppliers or switching processing facilities increases risk for automakers. As learned during the semiconductor shortage during the pandemic, alternative sources are not always readily available, which can lead to long-term ramifications for production. Automakers will make good use of the additional time to establish domestic sources of graphite. 

New U.S. Vehicle Safety Requirements:  

• U.S. imposes emergency-braking rule in 2029 for cars to cut roadway deaths, injuries

• U.S. requiring automatic emergency braking, but current tech does little for pedestrians 

• Feds' new emergency braking rule to test auto industry 

• US to require automatic emergency braking on new vehicles in 5 years and set performance standards 

• Biden administration to require advanced safety tech on all new cars and trucks 

Alan’s thoughts:

The US will require passenger cars to be equipped with automatic emergency braking (AEB) by 2029. This technology is found today on many high-line and premium luxury vehicles so consumers may have some experience with the technology. The DOT has provided 5 years to further refine the technology prior to full deployment.  

There are many demands competing for driver’s attention and the situation can become critical if distraction occurs during high cognitive loading - lane changes, merging, exit ramps, etc. AEB aims to assist the driver to automatically act should a critical situation arise. For example, if a pedestrian is detected in the vehicle’s path, the brakes will automatically be applied at a rate intended to safely stop the car short of the pedestrian. To increase public awareness and acceptance of such a feature, the industry should work to standardize the indication, method of activation, and performance of the systems to educate consumers about the operation and benefits of such an important safety system. 

Upcoming Webinars

Ahead of the Curve:

Investment Trends, Forecasts, & Policy Updates

May 21, 2024, 10 AM ET

Stay ahead of the curve in automotive. This webinar will equip you with actionable insights to navigate the dynamic automotive environment.

This session dives into:

• Investment Trends: Get the latest insights from the member-exclusive CAR Book of Deals, tracking key investments shaping the industry

• Automotive Forecasts: Stay informed on CAR's expert forecasts for the automotive market

• Policy & Legislative Updates: Understand the evolving policy landscape impacting the automotive industry

This is a CAR Partner exclusive webinar. Partners you will find the link in our email communications or in our portal under Webinars. Interested in becoming a partner? Message Steve Polakowski, VP of Business Development at spolakowski@cargroup.org to learn more.

To read previous Hot Topics, please visit our Feature Stories tab at cargroup.org.

The Center for Automotive Research is a nonprofit organization; its mission is to inform and advise, through independent research, education, and dialogue, enabling a more viable and sustainable automotive ecosystem.